4.3.2 Major Central Area Planning Initiatives In addition to the individual projects, major redevelopment efforts in Central Area neighborhoods such as Stockyards, Panther Island, Southside, and Butler Place were summarized at TAZ level to compare with NCTCOG 2050 allocation. Similar to development pipeline comparison, the AOS scenario assumes higher growth in these areas. Information from the planning initiatives was first mapped and quantified using Urban Footprint and then summarized at parcel level to generate future development square footage (SF). Default multipliers were used to convert SF to jobs and housing units. 4.3.3 Citywide Future Land Use Map Allocation The City’s Future Land Use Map (FLUM) was used as a framework to validate allocation for the Central Area neighborhoods. The population, housing unit, and employment densities from the FLUM were used as a reference range for the allocation to check if the City’s Future land use framework is aligned with the alternative scenario allocations. Any major deviations such as areas with future allocations for higher densities but not seeing that level of growth in 2050 baseline from NCTCOG were noted and included for higher allocation for AOS scenario. The FLUM exercise was conducted at a high level and served only to validate allocations; it did not guide future scenario allocations. The downtown benchmarking, development pipeline, and major planning initiatives were used as major drivers for the alternative scenario. 4.4 Growth Scenarios The benchmarking exercise combined with the inventory of planned and proposed developments and planning initiatives helped develop future Citywide growth share targets for the Central Area. Overall, a downtown population share of 1%-2% and employment share of above 10% was set for AOS scenario. Table 1 shows the existing (2023), 2050 baseline, and 2050 AOS scenario population and employment shares for the downtown.
Table 1: Target population and employment share for the Downtown Fort Worth
Downtown Population Share
Downtown Employment Share
Scenario
Existing 2023 Baseline 2050
0.45% 0.48%
8.88% 5.97%
Acting Our Size 2050 1.50%
11.36%
Using the downtown benchmarks and the information for other Central Area neighborhoods, AOS growth scenario for the Central Area shows an increase of 5% in population and 15% in employment compared to baseline scenario as summarized in Table 2 and Table 3.
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