Wake County Hazard Mitigation Plan - Adopted 10-21-2024

SECTION 3: PLANNING AREA PROFILE

3.10.4.2 GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

The population of Garner grew by approximately 21.0 percent between the 2010 Decennial Census and 2020 Decennial Census. According to the Garner Forward Comprehensive Plan adopted in 2023, development in Garner is driven by five identified growth factors including (1) market demand, (2) local economies and growth outlooks, (3) property owners’ willingness to participate, (4 ) government regulations and policies, and (5) the availability and capacity of infrastructure. Analysis of twenty-year market potential in this plan also indicates that by 2040 Garner could have another 16,000 residential units added to its housing stock and 10 million square feet of industrial land use demands.

3.10.4.3 LAND USE

Land use in Garner is guided by the collective contents of the General Framework Map, Character Typology Map, and Development Change and Intensity Map included in the Garner Forward Comprehensive Plan. The General Framework Map is supported by nine major initiatives and includes eight classes to provide a general understanding of growth and conservation priorities. The Character Typology contains seven area categories that resemble a standard land use map, and the Development Change and Intensity Map contains multiple “levels” identified on a spectrum of development intensity.

3.10.5 TOWN OF HOLLY SPRINGS

3.10.5.1 SOCIAL VULNERABILITY

Several census tracts near the Holly Springs area are rated as a low-medium level of social vulnerability, with surrounding areas rated as low based on 2022 SVI data. Census tracts around the Holly Springs area are rated as low impacts of environmental burden based on 2022 EJI data. The ACS 2022 5-year estimates for the total population of Holly Springs also note that approximately 12.8 percent of people over the age of five speak a language other than English, 4.8 percent have a disability, and 4.9 percent live below the poverty level.

3.10.5.2 GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

The population of Holly Springs grew by approximately 67.2 percent between the 2010 Decennial Census and 2020 Decennial Census. According to the Vision Holly Springs Comprehensive Plan, the well- educated and stable workforce of the Town is anticipated to drive further industry expansion. As of 2019, multiple slated projects for the Town were projected to create roughly 100,000 square feet of new retail, restaurants, and office space. Recent growth of the UNC Rex Healthcare system could also have significant impacts on future investment, development, and employment around Holly Springs.

3.10.5.3 LAND USE

Land use in Holly Springs is guided by the Growth Strategy Map and Future Land Use Map (FLUM) included in the Vision Holly Springs Comprehensive Plan. The Growth Strategy Map identifies three key categories of places based on specific (1) places to preserve, (2) places to enhance, and (3) places to transform. The FLUM includes 12 distinct character area classes in addition to water bodies and high lake levels.

Wake County, NC Multi-Jurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Plan

WSP June 2024 Page 56

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