The highest expected percentage of growth by 2040 is for new dwelling units. The increase in housing for the study area is exponential and will dominate the area through the foreseeable future. According to the 2040 projections, an increase in industrial employment is not expected for this area. Current industrial land uses and employment are mainly located near the intersection of Big Bend Road and US 41. They include a TECO Big Bend Power Station and Big Bend Solar array as well as the Hillsborough Solid Waste Department. Although 2040 projections do not anticipate additional industrial employment in this area, the Future Land Use ( Figure 20) and development/redevelopment potential (Figure 21) indicate that a significant amount of land with future land uses that allow industrial development have development potential. Within the study area itself, a moderate increase in both the commercial and service sectors is anticipated. A concentration of commercial employment is indicated east of Lincoln Road based on future land use. Jobs in the service sector are expected to increase on the south side of the Big Bend Road corridor mainly due to a planned high school slated to open on the north side of Balm Road and east of US 301 in August 2020. The school will be the first new high school to open in Hillsborough County in 10 years. Competitive sites discussed in the Baseline Conditions section of this report have been identified by Hillsborough County Economic Development and will make up additional employment growth in the study area based on the type of development that will occur and how development is directed. In addition, as discussed in the Baseline Conditions section, the planned future use of much of the existing agricultural land will be mixed use or industrial. 7.2 Development Scenarios In 2014 Hillsborough County commissioned a study on the effects of strip commercial and mixed-use development strategies. This report provides guidance and policy recommendations to support more mixed-use development and suggests the county and its cities take steps to refine comprehensive plans and land development codes to achieve a more desirable development pattern. Based on recommendations from the report, Hillsborough County is implementing three categories of development scenarios: › › Compact Urban › › Connected Suburban › › Modern Suburban 7.2.1 Compact Urban This traditional development pattern supports an interconnected network that is found in most downtown areas and pre-World War II neighborhoods and cities. A connected street grid offers users several routes to one or more destination points in a single trip. Commercial building fronts are typically at the edge of the sidewalk, with parking on the street or at the rear to support easy pedestrian access. A mix of land uses are present, including residential, with the highest density and intensity of uses. Figure 23 depicts an example of what Compact Urban development looks like in the built environment.
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Hillsborough County • October 2019
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