April 2026 Healthcare Workforce Trends​_KP

Healthcare Workforce Trends

Recent healthcare workforce dynamics and trends

April 2026

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Healthcare Labor Market Trends – March 2026 Summary

Statistic

Implication

Job openings down 4% MoM, -12% YoY; 2.1x openings/hires is above long-term normal

Job creation is slowing though not as much as hiring is coming down

Hiring numbers are down, but low attrition suggests hiring should be even slower

Hiring 10% above separations over last 3 months

Hospital RN wage inflation disappeared in Q4 2025 Perm nurses’ benefits fell sharply at year end

Travel nurse rates remain competitive with permanent nurse compensation Hours worked at med-surg hospitals ticked up in recent months, off longtime lows

Cost parity may indicate need to revisit staffing strategy and talent mix With hiring numbers down, hospitals may have stopped reducing average hours

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Healthcare Employment Update

*January ‘26 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Voluntary Quits

Job Vacancy Rate

Openings

Hires

Healthcare sector job openings fell 4% MoM in February ‘26; down 12%YoY. The total, 1.279M, is the lowest since January ‘21.

416K healthcare workers voluntarily quit their jobs in February ‘26 (2% decrease MoM, down 6% YoY). The down trend is likely driven by lower permanent hiring.

Healthcare three-month average job vacancy rate was 5.1% in February ‘26. The vacancy rate was in line with the pre-pandemic normal average (2015-19).

Healthcare sector hiring totaled 620K workers in February ‘26, down 13% YoY and -14% MoM. Hiring averaged 741K/month from 2021-25.

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Healthcare Labor Market KPIs

Source: Calculated from data series in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, US Bureau of Labor Statistics

MONTHLY AVERAGES

2025

Last 3Mo

2015-19

2021-22

2023-24

Openings % of jobs

5.1% 8.2% 7.0% 5.7% 5.2%

Hires % of openings

55%

40%

47%

51%

54%

Quits % of hires

63%

73%

66%

65%

63%

Voluntary quit rate (annualized)

23%

31%

28%

24%

21%

Involuntary attrition (annualized)

10%

7%

8%

9%

9%

Retirements/other % of jobs (annualized)

2.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8%

Hires % of separations

108% 106%

111%

109%

110%

Net job growth rate (YoY)

2.5% 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.9%

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Source: Employer Costs for Employee Compensation Survey, US Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics

Nurse Pay Surprises with Sudden Deceleration

Rate of change

Q4 2019

Q4 2024

Q4 2025

2019-25

CAGR

YoY

Healthcare Sector Hourly wages

$ 38.68 $ 50.21 $ 51.27

32.5% 4.8% 2.1% 67.9% 9.0% -0.2% 24.2% 3.7% -1.7% 18.8% 2.9% -1.4% 28.3% 4.2% 0.9% 27.5% 4.1% 0.8% 60.6% 8.2% -2.2% 18.3% 2.8% -1.1% 11.7% 1.9% -3.3% 24.6% 3.7% -0.4%

Supplemental pay

$ 2.43 $ 5.99 $ 12.40 $ 60.40

$ 4.09 $ 7.57 $ 14.94 $ 76.80

$ 4.08 $ 7.44 $ 14.73 $ 77.52

Paid leave

Wage inflation disappeared in the

Other benefits

Total compensation

Hospital Industry Hourly wages

latest numbers, coinciding with slower hiring

$ 40.38 $ 51.09

$ 51.49 $ 4.53 $ 7.82 $ 15.36

Supplemental pay

$ 2.82 $ 6.61 $ 13.75 $ 63.56

$ 4.63 $ 7.91 $ 15.89

Paid leave

Other benefits

Total compensation

$ 79.53 $ 79.20

The BLS also said full-time RN payrolls were flat YoY in 2025, suggesting greater use of part- time nurses

• Registered nurse compensation had its weakest quarter-over-quarter comparison since Q4 2020, with softness concentrated in hospitals

• The drop in hospital RN compensation was concentrated in paid leave and other benefits, which fell (4-5%) from Q3 to Q4

• Impaired quality of data collection might have affected these results

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Source: Current Employment Statistics, US Bureau of Labor Statistics

GENERAL MEDICAL-SURGICAL HOSPITALS AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS WORKED

Average Hours Worked Tick Up

36.9

36.8 36.8

36.6

36.6

36.4

36.4

36.2

36.1

35.8

35.7

– Average hours worked at US medical-surgical hospitals had hit levels last seen in 2003 – The downtrend bottomed at 34.4 hours/week in July and September

34.7 34.8

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS WORKED – BY MONTH

37.0

36.0

– October, November and

January showed increases, reaching the highest level since April 2025

35.0

34.0

Jan Feb Mar

Apr

May Jun Jul

Aug Sep Oct

Nov Dec

2023 2024 2025 2026

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Employee Attrition in Healthcare Suggests Caution

ANNUAL EMPLOYEE ATTRITION BY TYPE

TOTAL 40.1%

TOTAL 38.5%

2.0%

TOTAL 35.0%

2.1%

TOTAL 34.7%

7.3%

TOTAL 31.6%

1.8%

2.4%

8.3%

– In the three months ended February 2026, total attrition was 340 bp below pre-pandemic average – Voluntary quits dropped sharply at the beginning of the year as hiring slowed – Involuntary attrition (layoffs and terminations) has declined while retirements are very low

1.8%

8.7%

10.0%

8.5%

Retirements/Other Involuntary Voluntary

30.9%

28.0%

24.2%

22.6%

21.3%

2015-19

2021-22

2023-24

2025

2026

Monthly Averages, Annualized

Last 3 Mo

Figures are calculated from Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data, Bureau of Labor Statistics

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