pick would finish fourth (the lowest possible drop for the team with the lowest record) [refer to table 1]. The worst team would only acquire the first pick once throughout the duration of the old system.
Position
Team Dallas
Record
Chance
Probability
1 2
11-71 19-63
11 10
16.67% 15.15%
Minnesota
3
Washington
22-60
9
13.64%
4
Sacramento
25-57
8
12.12%
5
Philadelphia
26-56
7
10.61%
6
Milwaukee
28-54
6
9.09%
7
Golden State
34-48
5
7.58%
8
Denver
36-46
4
6.06%
9
Miami
36-46
3
4.55%
10
Detroit
40-42
2
3.03%
11
Orlando
41-41
1
1.52%
Table 1 - NBA Draft 1993 Probabilities (to three significant figures) under the old system 4
Table 2 - NBA Draft Probabilities (to three decimal places) under the new system 5
4 (May 22, 2007) “League has used variety of methods to determine No. 1 pick". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved October 4, 2009. 5 Pineda, Matt (April 16, 2015) “The numbers and the odds of Miami keeping their draft pick” Hothothoops.com. SB Nation
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