2025 APPENDIX TABLES
U.S. Macroeconomy Outlook, Quarterly 2023 2024
2025(f)
Year Quarter
Q2
Q3
Q4(f)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q1(f)
Q2(f)
Q3(f)
Q4(f)
3.1%
2.8%
2.5%
4.4%
3.2%
1.6%
3.0%
Actual
3.1%
0.9%
1.2%
1.8%
2.2% 2.3%
2.8%
2.5%
4.4%
3.2%
1.6%
3.0%
Conference Board (f)
REAL GDP
2.8%
2.5%
4.4%
3.2%
1.6%
3.0%
3.1%
2.0%
1.9%
1.9%
2.0% 2.1%
NABE (f)
2.5%
4.4%
3.2%
1.6%
3.0%
3.1%
2.5%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4% 2.4%
2.8%
Goldman Sachs (f)
3.5%
3.6%
3.7%
3.7%
3.8%
4.0%
4.2%
Actual
3.5%
3.6%
3.7%
3.7%
3.8%
4.0%
4.2%
4.3%
4.3%
4.1%
3.9% 3.9%
Conference Board (f)
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
3.5%
3.6%
3.7%
3.7%
3.8%
4.0%
4.2%
4.2%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3% 4.3%
NABE (f)
4.0%
4.2%
4.1%
4.0%
4.0%
3.9% 3.9%
3.5%
3.6%
3.7%
3.7%
3.8%
Goldman Sachs (f)
4.9%
5.1%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
4.9%
Actual
4.9%
5.1%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
4.9%
4.4%
3.9%
3.4%
3.1% 3.1%
Conference Board (f)
FED FUNDS RATE
3.9%
3.6% 3.4%
4.9%
5.1%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
4.9%
4.4%
4.1%
NABE (f)
4.9%
5.1%
5.4%
3.5%
3.3% 3.3%
5.4%
5.4%
5.4%
4.9%
4.3%
3.8%
Goldman Sachs (f)
4.1%
4.0%
3.2%
2.5%
2.4%
2.1%
2.2%
Supercore Actual
4.9%
4.6%
3.9%
3.2%
3.0%
2.7%
2.7%
Actual
CORE PCE INFLATION
4.9%
4.6%
3.9%
3.2%
3.0%
2.7%
2.4%
2.4%
2.2%
2.0%
2.0% 2.0%
Conference Board (YoY, f)
4.9%
4.6%
3.9%
3.2%
3.7%
2.8%
2.2%
2.2%
2.3%
2.2%
2.1% 2.1%
NABE (SAAR, f)
4.9%
4.6%
3.9%
3.2%
3.0%
2.7%
2.7%
2.8%
2.6%
2.6%
2.6% 2.4%
Goldman Sachs (YoY, f)
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Conference Board, National Association of Business Economists, Goldman Sachs
Oklahoma Employment by Sector Outlook, Quarterly
Year Quarter
2023
2024
2025(f)
2026(f)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4(f)
Q1(f)
Q2(f)
Q3(f)
Q4(f)
Q1(f)
Q2(f)
Q3(f)
Q4(f)
Value (thous) 1,735.8 1,754.5 1,748.9 1,778.3 1,765.7 1,784.8 1,777.2 1,807.6 1,783.7 1,811.7 1,818.9 1,848.6 1,825.9 1,840.0 1,844.8 1,877.8 3.9% 3.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1,379.4 1,396.3 1,397.9 1,408.5 1,399.7 1,416.2 1,418.7 1,431.2 1,415.4 1,436.8 1,451.4 1,465.6 1,451.4 1,465.3 1,477.2 1,492.0 4.5% 3.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 250.0 253.8 254.2 256.6 259.5 260.4 261.9 263.8 263.3 266.8 271.5 275.1 276.7 279.9 283.7 286.2 Q4/Q4 growth 4.8% 4.6% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.4% 2.5% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 4.0% 1,485.8 1,500.7 1,494.6 1,521.7 1,506.2 1,524.4 1,515.3 1,543.8 1,520.4 1,544.8 1,547.4 1,573.6 1,549.2 1,560.1 1,561.1 1,591.6 3.8% 3.1% 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 32.5 32.1 31.5 31.2 32.2 32.2 32.2 32.4 32.2 31.9 32.7 33.6 34.3 34.4 35.1 35.7 10.1% 5.8% 0.6% -1.0% -0.9% 0.4% 2.4% 4.0% 0.0% -1.0% 1.4% 3.7% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.4% 80.1 82.2 83.5 85.2 86.2 88.0 90.3 91.7 91.2 94.2 97.0 98.2 98.2 101.3 104.1 105.3 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 6.1% 7.7% 7.0% 8.1% 7.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.7% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 137.5 139.5 139.3 140.2 141.1 140.2 139.3 139.8 139.9 140.7 141.9 143.3 144.2 144.2 144.5 145.2 4.8% 5.2% 3.5% 2.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% -0.3% -0.9% 0.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 2.5% 1.8% 1.3% 320.6 320.2 319.5 325.9 319.1 319.8 316.8 321.7 315.0 318.4 320.0 328.2 320.5 322.1 323.8 332.7 0.7% 0.7% -0.7% -1.0% -0.5% -0.1% -0.8% -1.3% -1.3% -0.4% 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 18.0 18.5 17.8 17.4 17.0 16.9 16.7 16.7 16.7 17.0 17.0 17.0 16.8 16.8 16.6 16.5 3.8% 3.0% -1.3% -3.3% -5.9% -8.6% -6.2% -4.1% -1.4% 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 0.6% -1.1% -2.2% -2.8% 82.6 83.9 84.2 85.1 84.3 84.1 83.6 83.5 82.6 83.2 83.5 83.8 83.4 84.1 84.5 84.9 3.6% 3.3% 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.2% -0.6% -1.9% -1.9% -1.0% -0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 208.8 211.3 209.2 207.3 202.9 205.7 207.2 207.9 204.2 207.5 209.8 210.6 206.7 208.1 209.5 210.4 5.4% 3.8% 0.5% -1.6% -2.8% -2.7% -1.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 253.7 255.5 259.5 264.4 266.8 268.5 269.3 272.3 270.6 271.9 274.0 277.3 276.5 277.1 278.9 282.4 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.1% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 176.1 182.3 182.4 181.1 181.1 190.2 191.5 193.5 190.3 198.4 200.9 198.5 195.4 201.0 203.2 201.5 6.4% 3.8% 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.8% 5.1% 4.3% 4.9% 2.6% 2.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 69.6 70.9 71.0 70.7 69.0 70.6 71.7 72.0 72.7 73.5 74.7 75.1 75.5 76.0 77.0 77.3 6.4% 5.1% 3.8% 2.7% -0.9% -0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 5.4% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 2.9% 356.4 358.2 350.9 369.8 366.0 368.6 358.4 376.4 372.5 374.0 364.5 382.4 378.5 378.4 368.6 386.6 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1%
NONFARM
PRIVATE
GOODS
SERVICES
MINING
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACT
TRADE TRANSPORT UTILITIES
INFORMATION
FINANCE
PROF BUSINESS SERVICES
EDUCATION HEALTH
LEISURE
OTHER
GOVERNMENT
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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2025 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
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