Mr. Walter Laun August 31, 2026 Page 9
FINAL
Forecast Versus Actual In this section, actual collected transactions and revenue for the first half of FY 2026 are compared to the November 2025 forecast for each of the facilities. Table 5 provides the comparison for the Legacy System transactions by vehicle type and method of payment and Table 6 shows the same comparison for collected toll revenue. In the first half of FY 2026, passenger cars were 1.8 percent above forecast and commercial vehicles were 1.7 percent above forecast. In the second half of FY 2026, passenger cars and commercial vehicles were 0.4 percent below forecast. The variation between forecast and actual video transactions for individual months is anticipated as the timing of collections is influenced by customer payment behaviors and the payment processing delays. Overall, FY 2026 passenger cars and commercial vehicles were 0.7 percent above forecast. As shown in Table 6, collected toll revenue on the Legacy System was nearly equal to forecast for both passenger cars and commercial vehicles. Passenger cars exceeded forecast by 1.0 percent and commercial vehicles by 1.4 percent in the first half of FY 2026. The second half of the fiscal year was below forecast by nearly the same amount the forecast was above in the first half. These variations align well with the variations seen in transactions, indicating the average toll assumptions in the forecast align well with actuals. Overall, FY 2026 ETC collected revenue totals were 0.4 percent above forecast and video collected revenue was 3.4 percent below forecast.
Made with FlippingBook - professional solution for displaying marketing and sales documents online