Table 2: Central Area Population scenarios, 2050
Scenario/Year
Total Population Added
% of City
Existing-2023
74,300
-
6.2%
Baseline-2050
99,100
-
5.4%
Acting Our Size 2050
195,700
96,500
10.7%
Source: AECOM analysis Table 3: Central Area Employment scenarios, 2050
Scenario/Year
Total Employment Added
% of City
Existing-2023
196,400
-
25.2%
Baseline-2050
211,300
-
16.6%
Acting Our Size 2050
399,400
188,000
31.3%
Source: AECOM analysis It is important to note that the AOS scenario represents a vision-based scenario that redistributes the City’s 2050 growth to allocate higher share to the Central Area and downtown. The exercise is intended to be input into the regional travel model to identify the level of investment needed to realize the scenario. 5 Primary Road Gap Projects 5.1 M1M Gap Analysis The Gap Analysis in a previous task for M1M, produced a set of roadway projects that would improve mobility and connectivity throughout the city. The implementation of these projects is included in the 2050 M1M roadway primary road gaps network (see Figure 8). There are four categories of projects that were incorporated: • Roadway Gap Analysis: A total of 53 projects were included in the TDM network to improve connectivity in collectors and arterial roads. These were coded as additional links in the network, with the appropriate characteristics of the roadways given the identified facility type (i.e., free- flow speed, capacity, etc.). • Capacity Projects: A total of 15 projects were included in the TDM network to improve capacity on highly utilized and at-capacity corridors. These were coded as additional lanes on the selected locations.
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