Electricity Asset Management Plan 2019-2029
24 Vector Limited://
MAIN DRIVERS OF SCENARIOS
Technology penetration
Customer behaviour @ peak
Decline potential of older freestanding houses without gas connections
Decline by 2028
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
-7% -7% -9%
4,000
50
100
150
200
250
300
Dwelling floor area
RESIDENTIAL kWh PER ICP
Scenario EV numbers uptake
Share of EVs charging
8,000
AMP
1,400 1,200 1,000
AMP
7,000
800 600 400 200 0
6,000
5,000
0.5 0.5 0.1
2010 2020
2030
2040
2050
4,000
2018 2028 2038 2048
Year
POP SYMPHONY
ROCK
POP SYMPHONY
ROCK
Scenario solar installation uptake
Share of batteries discharging
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0
AMP
0.1
0.1 0.9
2000
2010
2020
2040 2030
2050
Year
POP SYMPHONY
ROCK
Figure 1-5 Main drivers of scenarios
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