AMP 2019-2029

Electricity Asset Management Plan 2019-2029

272

Vector Limited://

Forecast Network Demand (Schedule 12c)

Vector Electricity 1 April 2019 – 31 March 2029

Company Name AMP Planning Period

SCHEDULE 12C: REPORT ON FORECAST NETWORK DEMAND

This schedule requires a forecastof newconnections (by consumer type),peak demand and energy volumes for thedisclosureyear and a 5 year planningperiod.The forecasts should beconsistentwith thesupporting information setout in theAMP as well as the assumptions used in developing theexpenditure forecasts in Schedule11a and Schedule11b and thecapacity and utilisation forecasts in Schedule12b.

sch ref

12c(i): Consumer Connections

7 8 9

Numberof ICPs connected in yearby consumer type

Number of connections

CurrentYearCY

CY+1

CY+2

CY+3

CY+4

CY+5

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

31 Mar 19

31 Mar 20

31 Mar 21

31 Mar 22

31 Mar 23

31 Mar 24

for year ended

Consumer typesdefined by EDB*

Residential & Small MediumEnterprise (SME)

12,083

11,904

11,697

11,697

11,697

11,523

Industrial & Commercial

176

140

104

104

104

85

Connections total

12,259

12,044

11,801

11,801

11,801

11,608

*includeadditional rows if needed

Distributed generation

Number of connections

497

1,000

2,000

6,700

6,700

6,700

Capacity of distributed generation installed in year (MVA)

2

3

6

20

20

20

12c(ii) System Demand

CurrentYearCY

CY+1

CY+2

CY+3

CY+4

CY+5

Maximum coincident system demand (MW)

31 Mar 20

31 Mar 21

31 Mar 22

31 Mar 23

31 Mar 24

31 Mar 19

for year ended

GXP demand

1,809

1,817

1,825

1,834

1,842

1,850

plus

Distributed generation outputatHVand above

12

14

14

14

14

14

Maximum coincident system demand

1,821

1,831

1,839

1,848

1,856

1,864

less

Net transfers to (from) other EDBs atHVand above

-

-

-

-

-

-

Demandon system for supply to consumers' connectionpoints

1,821

1,831

1,839

1,848

1,856

1,864

Electricity volumes carried (GWh)

Electricity supplied fromGXPs Electricity exports to GXPs

8,631

8,637

8,636

8,638

8,639

8,645

less plus less

Electricity supplied fromdistributed generation Netelectricity supplied to (from) other EDBs

127

127

127

127

127

127

Electricityentering system for supply to ICPs

8,758 8,438

8,764 8,444

8,763 8,443

8,765 8,445

8,766 8,446

8,772 8,451

less

Total energy delivered to ICPs

Losses

320

320

320

320

320

321

Load factor Loss ratio

55% 3.7%

55% 3.7%

54% 3.7%

54% 3.7%

54% 3.7%

54% 3.7%

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