Table of Contents
1. Introduction..................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 System Description .................................................................................................................................................. 1-1 1.2 Toll Rate and Civil Penalty Structure ............................................................................................................... 1-5 1.2.1 Standard Toll Rates .................................................................................................................................... 1-5 1.2.2 FY 2023 Temporary Business Rule Changes.................................................................................1-11 1.2.3 Upcoming Toll Rate Changes................................................................................................................1-11 1.3 Report Structure .....................................................................................................................................................1-11 2. Historical Trends .............................................................................................................. 2-1 2.1 Maryland Vehicle Miles Traveled....................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.2 MDTA Traffic and Revenue Trends................................................................................................................... 2-2 2.2.1 Collected Transactions and Revenue.................................................................................................. 2-2 2.2.2 In-Lane Traffic .............................................................................................................................................. 2-9 2.3 Historical Traffic on Other Major Highways ...............................................................................................2-15 2.4 MDTA E-ZPass Market Share .............................................................................................................................2-17 3. Corridor Growth Review .................................................................................................. 3-1 3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................................ 3-1 3.2 Recent Growth Trend Explanatory Factors................................................................................................... 3-3 3.2.1 Port of Baltimore Cargo Trends............................................................................................................ 3-3 3.2.2 Baltimore/Washington International Airport (BWI) Passengers.......................................... 3-4 3.3 Socioeconomic Variables....................................................................................................................................... 3-5 3.3.1 Population ...................................................................................................................................................... 3-7 3.3.2 Employment .................................................................................................................................................. 3-8 3.3.3 Unemployment...........................................................................................................................................3-10 3.3.4 Per Capita Personal Income..................................................................................................................3-13 3.3.5 Gross Domestic/Regional Product ....................................................................................................3-14 3.3.6 Inflation .........................................................................................................................................................3-17 3.3.7 Fuel Prices ....................................................................................................................................................3-19 4. Forecasts by Facility ......................................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Assumptions ............................................................................................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Legacy System ............................................................................................................................................................ 4-2 4.2.1 Forecast Methodology............................................................................................................................... 4-2 4.2.2 Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse........................................................................................................ 4-3 4.2.3 Construction .................................................................................................................................................. 4-3 4.2.4 Forecast Results........................................................................................................................................... 4-4 4.3 Intercounty Connector .........................................................................................................................................4-11 4.3.1 Forecast Methodology and Assumptions........................................................................................4-11 4.3.2 Forecast Results.........................................................................................................................................4-11 4.4 I-95 ETLs ....................................................................................................................................................................4-14 4.4.1 Forecast Methodology and Assumptions........................................................................................4-14 4.4.2 Forecast Results.........................................................................................................................................4-15 4.5 Other Revenue..........................................................................................................................................................4-17
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