Table of Contents •
4.5.1 Forecast Methodology and Assumptions........................................................................................4-17 4.5.2 Forecast Results.........................................................................................................................................4-19 5. Total Forecast Results ...................................................................................................... 5-1 6. Forecast Comparisons...................................................................................................... 6-1
List of Figures
Figure 1-1. Facility Location Map, Maryland Toll Facilities ..................................................................................... 1-2 Figure 1-2. I-95 Express Toll Lanes (ETL) Existing & Future Configuration w/I-695 DC .......................... 1-4 Figure 1-3. FY 2024 MDTA Share of Toll Revenue by Facility and Total Revenue by Type....................... 1-5 Figure 2-1. Historical Collected Transactions and Collected Toll Revenue by Facility ................................ 2-6 Figure 2-2. Transactions Per Week by Fiscal Year – Legacy System..................................................................2-12 Figure 2-3. Transactions Per Week by Fiscal Year – Intercounty Connector.................................................2-13 Figure 2-4. Transactions Per Week by Fiscal year – I-95 Express Toll Lanes (ETL)...................................2-14 Figure 2-5. Collected Transaction E-ZPass Marketshare Trends by Facility..................................................2-18 Figure 3-1. Geographies Profiled......................................................................................................................................... 3-2 Figure 3-2. Port of Baltimore Cargo Tons vs. Legacy Facilities CV Traffic, FY 2018-2025 (Monthly)... 3-4 Figure 3-3. BWI Airport Passengers vs. ICC PC Traffic, FY 2018-2025 (Monthly)......................................... 3-5 Figure 3-4. Historical Unemployment Rates (More Geographies)......................................................................3-10 Figure 3-5. Historical Unemployment Rates (Maryland Regions) ......................................................................3-11 Figure 3-6. Forecast U.S. Unemployment Rate ............................................................................................................3-12 Figure 3-7. Forecast Mid-Term Real GDP Growth......................................................................................................3-17 Figure 3-8. Historical Inflation (CPI-U)...........................................................................................................................3-18 Figure 3-9. Forecast Inflation (CPI-U) .............................................................................................................................3-18 Figure 3-10. Historical Fuel Prices (Current $) ...........................................................................................................3-19 Figure 3-11. Forecast Fuel Prices (Current $) .............................................................................................................3-20 Figure 5-1. Share of Collected Transactions/Trips, FY 2025 and FY 2034 ....................................................... 5-2 Figure 5-2. Share of Collected Total Revenue, FY 2025 and FY 2034.................................................................. 5-3
List of Tables
Table 1-1. Standard MDTA Legacy System Toll Rates and Toll Collection Direction.................................... 1-6 Table 1-2. Other MDTA Legacy System Discount Toll Rate Programs and Rates........................................... 1-8 Table 1-3. Intercounty Connector Two-Axle E-ZPass Toll Rates by Movement and Time Period .......... 1-9 Table 1-4. I-95 Express Toll Lane Toll Rates ................................................................................................................1-10 Table 2-1. National and Statewide Trends in Vehicle Miles Traveled ................................................................. 2-2 Table 2-2. MDTA Passenger Car Historic Collected Transactions and Toll Revenue.................................... 2-3 Table 2-3. MDTA Commercial Vehicle Historic Collected Transactions and Toll Revenue........................ 2-4 Table 2-4. MDTA Total Traffic Historic Collected Transactions and Toll Revenue ....................................... 2-5 Table 2-5. Average Annual Percent Change in Collected Transactions and Revenue by Facility............ 2-7 Table 2-6. MDTA In-Lane Traffic by Fiscal Year..........................................................................................................2-11 Table 2-7. Average Annual Daily Traffic Trends on Major Highways................................................................2-16
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