Chapter 3 • Corridor Growth Review
3.3.1 Population Historical
Table 3-2 shows U.S. Census Bureau population for 2014 to 2024 (July 1 st estimates). National population increased from 318.3 to 340.1.0 million, equating to 0.7% CAGR; the South Atlantic, which includes Maryland, grew faster at 1.1% annually, and Mid Atlantic growth was 0.3%. Maryland’s population grew 306,000, from 6.0 to 6.3 million, reflecting a 0.5% CAGR. The most populous sub-state region, Baltimore, grew 0.3% annually while Southern Maryland and Washington Suburban grew relatively fast, at 0.8%. Annualized growth in Maryland’s other regions ranged from no growth in Western Maryland to 0.5% in Upper Eastern Shore.
Table 3-2 Historical Population
Geography
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 '14-'24
Population (Thousands) United States
318,301 320,635 322,941 324,986 326,688 328,240 331,578 332,100 334,017 336,806 340,111 21,810 41,304 41,307 41,287 41,263 41,217 41,138 42,374 42,134 41,984 42,135 42,447 1,143 62,382 63,117 63,907 64,620 65,230 65,785 66,177 66,681 67,657 68,684 69,677 7,294 5,957 5,986 6,003 6,024 6,036 6,046 6,178 6,179 6,192 6,217 6,263 306 2,731 2,741 2,745 2,749 2,751 2,750 2,797 2,797 2,794 2,795 2,805 74 211 211 212 212 213 213 213 215 216 218 219 8 355 357 360 363 366 369 374 378 380 383 386 31
Mid Atlantic South Atlantic
Maryland
Baltimore
Lower Eastern Shore Southern Maryland
Upper Eastern Shore 241 241 241 242 243 243 244 245 248 250 252 11 Washington Suburban 2,168 2,184 2,194 2,207 2,213 2,220 2,299 2,293 2,303 2,320 2,348 181 Western Maryland 252 251 251 251 251 250 251 252 251 252 253 1 Annual Percent Change United States 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% Mid Atlantic 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% 3.0% -0.6% -0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% South Atlantic 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% Maryland 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% Baltimore 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 1.7% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% Lower Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% -0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% Southern Maryland 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% Upper Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% Washington Suburban 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 3.6% -0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% Western Maryland -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0% -0.1% 0.4% 0.1% -0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Forecast Table 3-3 shows average annual population growth forecasts through 2034 by Woods & Poole (WP25) and the Maryland State Data Center (MD SDC, Mar. 2025).
WP25 projects 0.6% National annualized growth between 2024 and 2034, almost the same pace as recent decade history. WP25 predicts Mid-Atlantic CAGR of 0.2% and South Atlantic at 0.9%.
WP25 projects Maryland’s population growth at 0.5% with the MD SDC slightly higher at 0.6%, and that Southern Maryland will grow relatively faster than other regions, at 0.9%, similar to recent history. In Baltimore, WP25 projects 0.4% and Washington Suburban, 0.6% CGAR, and MD SDC projects similarly.
3-7
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