MDTA Board Meeting Materials

Chapter 3 • Corridor Growth Review

Table 3-9 Historical Real Gross Domestic/Regional Product (2024$)

Geography

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 '14-'24

Gross Regional Product (2024$ billions) United States

22,553 23,218 23,640 24,221 24,939 25,584 25,030 26,546 27,213 27,999 28,782 6,228 4,042 4,176 4,288 4,402 4,515 4,627 4,546 4,848 5,033 5,183 5,354 1,312 3,489 3,559 3,609 3,667 3,749 3,822 3,693 3,871 3,945 4,019 4,115 627 457.4 467.8 484.1 493.6 497.1 497.1 480.1 502.6 514.3 522.2 533.8 76.4 225.2 229.9 237.8 242.7 245.2 246.7 238.4 250.4 257.0 261.2 267.4 42.1 12.0 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.3 11.8 12.9 13.4 13.0 13.2 1.2 21.1 21.7 22.8 23.4 22.2 22.2 22.4 22.3 22.7 23.1 23.6 2.4

Mid Atlantic South Atlantic

Maryland

Baltimore

Lower Eastern Shore Southern Maryland

Forecast Table 3-10 provides gross domestic/regional product forecasts. WP25 projects 1.9% annual real growth through 2034 nationally, and for the South Atlantic slightly faster (2.0%), with Maryland’s GRP at the national 1.9%. Within Maryland, the highest real GRP growth is expected in Baltimore (2.0%) and Southern Maryland (1.9%). 11.9 12.4 12.8 13.2 13.5 13.5 12.9 13.8 14.2 14.6 14.8 2.9 Washington Suburban 173.6 177.8 183.8 187.6 189.2 188.3 181.4 189.3 193.2 196.5 201.1 27.4 Western Maryland 13.5 13.5 14.1 14.2 14.4 14.1 13.3 14.0 13.7 13.9 14.0 0.6 Annual Percent Change United States 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% -2.2% 6.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 2.5% Mid Atlantic 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% -1.8% 6.7% 3.8% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9% South Atlantic 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% -3.4% 4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 1.7% Maryland 1.6% 2.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% -3.4% 4.7% 2.3% 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% Baltimore 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% -3.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% Lower Eastern Shore 4.8% 4.1% 1.4% -0.8% -0.6% -1.7% -4.4% 9.4% 4.2% -3.1% 1.7% 0.9% Southern Maryland 2.2% 2.5% 5.4% 2.5% -5.3% 0.3% 0.9% -0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% Upper Eastern Shore 1.0% 3.8% 3.9% 2.8% 2.6% -0.1% -4.8% 7.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 2.2% Washington Suburban 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% -0.5% -3.6% 4.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% Western Maryland 2.9% 0.2% 4.3% 0.8% 1.2% -1.9% -6.1% 5.5% -1.8% 1.1% 1.3% 0.4% Upper Eastern Shore

Table 3-10 Forecast Real Gross Domestic/Regional Product Growth

Historical

WP25

Geography

'14-'24 '24-'29 '29-'34 '24-'34 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3%

United States Mid Atlantic South Atlantic

Maryland

Baltimore

Lower Eastern Shore Southern Maryland Upper Eastern Shore Washington Suburban Western Maryland

3-15

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