Chapter 4 • Forecasts by Facility
24. Once both phases are complete, the lane configuration from MD 43 to MD 24 will be four general purpose lanes and two ETLs. From MD 24 northbound the configuration will be three general purpose lanes and two ETLs. The ETLs will transition to a single lane ETL and then run concurrent to the three GP lanes until the four lanes transition back to three lanes in advance of the MD 136/Calvary Road Overpass approximately two miles north of MD 24. The completion of construction through the MD 24 Interchange is scheduled for winter of 2027/2028. Coinciding with the completion of the northbound extension, direct connectors from I-695 eastbound and westbound to I-95 northbound will open as well. Additional construction projects on the MDTA facilities and competing non-MDTA highways and arterials were also reviewed, but it was determined that the construction activity associated with these projects will result in negligible impacts on MDTA traffic and toll revenue. This includes the subgrade improvements east of Bear Creek and the rehabilitation of decks at the Curtis Creek bascule span approaches on I-695. In prior years, these projects were forecasted to cause diversion from the Key Bridge to the Harbor Tunnel or Fort McHenry Tunnel. Due to the collapse of the Key bridge, these projects have been expedited and will be complete before the reopening of the bridge, therefore causing no impacts to traffic and revenue during the forecast period. 4.2.4 Forecast Results Table 4-2 presents actual collected transactions and toll revenue for the Legacy system for FY 2025 and forecasted collected transactions and toll revenue for FY 2026 through FY 2035 by passenger cars and commercial vehicles. The forecasts reflect collections after assumed reductions due to unbillable and unpaid trips. Table 4-3 provides historical and forecasted total transactions and toll revenue for the Legacy system by facility. FY 2026 transactions and revenue are forecasted to increase over FY 2025 due to returns in normal collections and growth trends, and a forecasted bump in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year from the tax intercept season based on current transactions that have been referred to date. The Key Bridge replacement is assumed to open in the fall of 2030, or FY 2031, which is the reason for the larger increase in transactions and revenue compared to FY 2030. Following the reopening, the Harbor Tunnel AET conversion will begin, as detailed previously in Section 4.2.2 , allowing the new Key Bridge to absorb some of the potential diversion from the construction. FY 2032 and 2033 are affected by the I-895 construction at the BHT. For FY 2034 onwards, transactions and revenue are not assumed to be impacted by such large construction projects and reflect expected normal growth through the end of the forecast period in FY 2035.
4-4
Made with FlippingBook - professional solution for displaying marketing and sales documents online