MDTA Board Meeting Materials

Chapter 4 • Forecasts by Facility

4.5.2 Forecast Results Table 4-11 provides the historical and forecasted other revenue for the Legacy facilities, ICC, and I-95 ETLs. Historical data is shown for FY 2019 through FY 2025. Due to the business rule changes taken by MDTA, other revenue increased significantly from FY 2021 to FY 2025. This is due to an increase in processing of the backlogged video transactions, leading to an increase in civil penalty collections particularly in FY 2023 and FY 2024, after the termination of the customer assistance plan. FY 2025 saw a jump in civil penalties due to the resumption of MVA/CCU enforcement, causing a surge in one-time payment on old transactions. Other revenue is forecasted to decrease slightly in FY 2026 due to the reduction of backlog transactions before stabilizing for the remainder of the forecast. Overall, other revenue is forecasted to grow an average of 1.3 percent per year from FY 2027 through the end of the forecast period in FY 2035.

Table 4-12 provides the FY 2026 and FY 2027 monthly other revenue forecast for the combined Legacy facilities, ICC, and I-95 ETLs.

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