Chapter 6 Forecast Comparisons
This chapter provides comparisons of the current forecasts for the Legacy system, Intercounty Connector, and I-95 ETLs against the previous forecasts from the September 2024 annual forecast update in the report “FY 2025 Traffic and Revenue Forecast Update.” Table 6-1 provides the forecast comparison for the Legacy system, with actual revenue shown for FY 2025 in the current forecast. Passenger car revenue is forecasted to be lower than the previous forecast in all years due to benchmarking to latest actual trends and updated construction impacts for the FSK bridge replacement. Commercial vehicles are forecasted to decrease by around half a percent in years not impacted by construction impact changes.
Table 6-1 Legacy System Toll Revenue Comparison
Passenger Cars
Commercial Vehicles
Total Vehicles
% Diff - Current vs. Sept. 2024 Current (1)
% Diff - Current vs. Sept. 2024 Current (1)
% Diff - Current vs. Sept. 2024 Current (1)
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Fiscal Year
Sept. 2024
Sept. 2024
Sept. 2024
372.4 $
-0.5% 370.3 $ -0.3% 376.3 -2.0% 374.0 -2.3% 377.9 -4.6% 379.7 -5.6% 382.3 -3.6% 396.4 -1.4% 409.3 -1.3% 411.3 -1.0% 415.6
$
233.4 235.3 236.5 238.4 246.2 251.0 252.5 254.2 254.5 255.6
-1.1% 230.7 $ -0.1% 235.0 -0.5% 235.3 -0.6% 237.0 -3.6% 237.4 -5.0% 238.4 -2.5% 246.3 -0.7% 252.6 -0.4% 253.5
$
605.7 612.5 618.1 625.1 644.4 656.2 663.6 669.2 671.4 675.2
-0.8% 601.0 $ -0.2% 611.3 -1.4% 609.2 -1.6% 614.9 -4.2% 617.1 -5.4% 620.7 -3.1% 642.7 -1.1% 661.8 -1.0% 664.8 -0.6% 671.3
377.2 381.6 386.8 398.2 405.2 411.1 415.0 416.8 419.6
0.1%
255.7 256.9
-
-
418.4
-
-
-
-
675.3
(1) Actual revenue shown for 2025.
6-1
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