Chapter 6 • Forecast Comparisons
Table 6-2 provides the forecast comparison for the Intercounty Connector. The current forecast is higher than the September 2024 forecast by 4.0 percent in FY 2026, tapering down to 3.6 percent by FY 2028. This increase is due to benchmarking to the latest trends on the ICC including the average toll, which more accurately adjusts the vehicle class distribution and trip length.
Table 6-2 Intercounty Connector Comparison
% Diff - Current vs. Sept. 2024 Current (1)
Fiscal Year 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
Sept. 2024
$
70.8 72.1 73.7 75.5 76.8 78.3 79.5 81.0 82.0 83.3
5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
$
74.6 75.9 76.5 78.2 79.5 81.1 82.4 83.8 84.9 86.2 87.6
-
-
(1) Actual revenue shown for 2025.
Table 6-3 provides the forecast comparison for the I-95 ETLs. In the current forecast, near-term projections were revised to the latest FY 2025 trends including the opening of the first northbound extension in December. Corrections to the average toll after the opening were applied to the forecast, causing a long-term increase of 7.4 percent reached by FY 2030.
Table 6-3 I-95 ETLs Comparison
% Diff - Current vs. Sept. 2024 Current (1)
Fiscal Year 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
Sept. 2024
$
17.0 21.3 22.3 28.7 34.5 35.8 37.2 38.6 40.0 41.4
8.6%
$
18.5 23.8 24.9 30.9 37.0 38.4 40.0 41.5 42.9 44.5 46.1
11.8% 11.8%
7.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4%
-
-
(1) Actual revenue shown for 2025.
6-2
Made with FlippingBook - professional solution for displaying marketing and sales documents online