Chapter 2 • Historical Trends
Bridge maintaining higher growth than the other facilities. In FY 2023, all facilities had positive growth, excluding the Hatem Bridge and Fort McHenry Tunnel which both decreased by around one percent for total vehicles. In FY 2024, the Key Bridge collapse influenced the Harbor Crossings, but the Legacy system overall had 0.5 percent growth for passenger cars and a 1.6 percent decline for commercial vehicles. The decline in commercial vehicles aligns with our growth forecast which predicted that the high growth that began after the pandemic from increases in e-commerce was not sustainable. FY 2025 showed ongoing trends from FY 2024 but with a full year impact of the collapse of the Key Bridge. The total Legacy system declined by 3.3 percent in FY 2025 over FY 2024, with the three Harbor Crossings declining by 4.6 percent combined. The ICC and I-95 ETLs did not recover at the same pace as the Legacy facilities after the pandemic due to their larger commuting share of traffic and the congestion relief nature of these two facilities. This sector of traffic dropped significantly as remote working increased during the pandemic. Due to this, the ICC declined by 13.8 percent year-over-year in both FY 2020 and FY 2021 for passenger cars. The I-95 ETLs fared worse in FY 2021 and declined by almost 21 percent, compared to a decline of 17.5 percent in FY 2020. In FY 2022, the ICC and ETLs had positive growth of 24.2 and 34.4 percent, respectively, for passenger cars. Commercial vehicles make up a very small portion of traffic on both of these facilities, but similar to the Legacy facilities they showed less impact due to COVID-19 in FY 2020 and were recovered to 2019 levels between FY 2021 and 2022. In FY 2023, passenger car traffic on the ICC and ETL grew by 7.6 and 0.8, respectively. Similarly, commercial vehicle traffic on the ICC and ETL increased 0.9 and 3.3 percent, respectively. FY 2024 showed strong growth on both facilities of 5.6 and 5.8 percent for the ICC and ETLs, respectively. This growth was primarily due to increasing passenger car traffic, and this trend continued in FY 2025. The ICC increased by four percent over FY 2024, and the ETLs increased by 34.4 percent due to the opening of the northbound extension. Figure 2-2 provides a graphical representation of the year-over-year trends for in-lane data for FY 2024 and FY 2025 for the total Legacy System. Figure 2-3 and Figure 2-4 show the same information for the Intercounty Connector and I-95 ETLs.
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